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Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction)

Top Stocks to Beat Earnings

Symbol Company
ESP Most Accurate
Price Zacks Rank %Surprise
(lst Qtr.)
Reporting Date
MU Micron T 13.95% 0.49 0.43 50.50 2 33.33% 09/26/19
SID National 23.33% 0.37 0.30 3.52 2 -100.00% 09/19/19
FDS FactSet 0.41% 2.48 2.47 277.46 3 10.55% 09/26/19

Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) looks to find companies that have recently seen positive earnings estimate revision activity. The idea is that more recent information is, generally speaking, more accurate and can be a better predictor of the future, which can give investors an advantage in earnings season.

The technique has proven to be very useful for finding positive surprises. In fact, when combining a Zacks Rank #3 or better and a positive Earnings ESP, stocks produced a positive surprise 70% of the time, while they also saw 28.3% annual returns on average, according to our 10 year backtest.

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See the Full List of Stocks To Beat Earnings

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Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers for Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers for


Company Symbol Price %Chg
CNX Midstre... CNXM 14.60 +4.36%
Restoration... RH 173.63 +2.67%
Pilgrim's P... PPC 30.82 +1.55%
Meritage Co... MTH 68.86 +1.52%
Radiant Log... RLGT 5.55 +1.46%

Focus List Top Performers


Symbol Price Added Current Price %Chg
SQ 17.25 58.32 +237.91%
LULU 73.64 195.18 +165.05%
MSFT 55.09 137.32 +149.26%
LRCX 100.49 235.56 +134.41%
SAM 168.00 388.48 +131.76%

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Zacks Equity Research


  • National Oilwell Varco, Inc.
    Upgraded: 09/13/19

    The company's joint venture with Saudi Aramco is also expected to support National Oilwell's drilling technology franchise and contribute to earnings.

  • Lincoln National Corporation
    Upgraded: 09/13/19

    The company's strong life business, Group segment, acquisitions, business streamlining should drive growth. Its strong capital position also impresses.

  • Mdu Resources Group, Inc.
    Upgraded: 09/13/19

    Two-platform business model, strategic acquisitions, planned investments in the electric and natural gas utility, rising backlog and ongoing projects will act as tailwinds.

  • Embraer-empresa Brasileira De Aeronautica
    Upgraded: 09/13/19

    Embraer continues to witness strong demand for its E-jets. Its strategic alliance with Boeing will offer a comprehensive commercial airplane portfolio ranging from 70 seats to 450 seats along with freighter

  • Papa John's International, Inc.
    Upgraded: 09/13/19

    The company’s continued international expansion plans, strategic partnerships, strong digital platform and various sales initiatives bode well

  • Yum China Holdings Inc.
    Upgraded: 09/12/19

    Menu innovation, digital enhancement and strong brand recognition are expected to effectively drive its sales, going forward.

  • Booking Holdings Inc.
    Upgraded: 09/12/19

    The secular growth trend in the online travel booking market, strong position in international markets and growth opportunities in the domestic market are positives.

  • Ciena Corporation
    Upgraded: 09/07/19

    Ciena is well positioned to benefit from the growing demand for its products such as WaveServer, accretive acquisitions coupled with expanding international presence.

  • Blackstone Group Inc/the
    Upgraded: 09/07/19

    Blackstone is likely to continue to benefit from its diversified products, acquisitions and revenue mix. The company’s robust fund-raising ability is expected to further support profitability.

  • Inc.
    Upgraded: 09/06/19

New Downgrades: LKQ, LAMR, TRS, G, W, FDX, PSXP, MGLN, KIRK, ABM

  • Lkq Corporation
    Downgraded: 09/13/19

    Challenging macroeconomic environment in Europe is likely to hurt LKQ Corp. Further, inflating SG&A costs is a headwind.

  • Lamar Advertising Company
    Downgraded: 09/13/19

    Higher capital expenditures and expenses associated with acquisition of outdoor advertising assets as well as intense competition from other outdoor advertisers are challenges for Lamar.

  • Trimas Corporation
    Downgraded: 09/13/19

    Weakness in industrial end markets on account of lower global trading activity and margin pressure owing to higher commodity costs and the implementation of tariffs remain near-term headwinds.

  • Genpact Limited
    Downgraded: 09/13/19

    Client concentration, seasonality and high debt level are Genpact’s major headwinds.

  • Wayfair Inc.
    Downgraded: 09/13/19

    The increasing advertising expenditure, intense competition and foreign currency fluctuation remain concerns.

  • Fedex Corporation
    Downgraded: 09/13/19

    Weakness in global trade is a cause for concern. High operating expenses are also worrisome.

  • Phillips 66 Partners Lp
    Downgraded: 09/13/19

    The significant reduction in capital spending may hurt the partnership’s pipeline and terminal throughput volume.

  • Magellan Health, Inc.
    Downgraded: 09/13/19

    Declining revenues, decline in earnings in Pharmacy business, low profitability makes the stock look unattractive.

  • Kirkland's, Inc.
    Downgraded: 09/07/19

    Persistent decline in comps pose risks for Kirkland’s. Moreover, high costs and low merchandise margins are weighing on gross margin.

  • Abm Industries Incorporated
    Downgraded: 09/07/19

    Rising expenses and high debt are likely to hurt ABM Industries.

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